PRESENTATION NOTES
FUTURE TRENDS : THRIVING IN THE 21ST CENTURY
CONSIDER the rate of change. . . .
Every 15 seconds a new web site is launched
Every 15 minutes a new technology breakthrough occurs
Every 15 days a totally new product or service is born.
We choose from 127 kinds of bread.
We choose from 4 buttons on the toilet cistern.
We have a least 3 phone numbers. Plus fax.
We are 3 seconds from anywhere with a phone line.
21stCentury : THREE LABELS:
- CENTURY of the PACIFIC
- CENTURY of HEALING
- CENTURY of the FEMININE (RIGHT BRAIN)
21stCentury : THREE KEY WORDS:
- Passion
- Responsibility
- Dignity
THREE KEY DRIVERS OF CHANGE :
- CONSUMER Driven Economy
- KNOWLEDGE Driven Value Shift
- GLOBAL TRADE Power Shift
and DRIVING ALL DRIVERS OF CHANGE :
- Technology
- Technology
- Technology !
We are in the 3rd Great Economic Revolution :
- Agrarian
- Industrial
- Technological
All political economic social & cultural life is changed by technology.
70 % of jobs in 2020 do not exist now
because
80 % of technology of 2020 is not invented yet.
THREE DRIVERS OF CHANGE : Expanded
1. CONSUMER Driven Global Economy
1770 - 1970s : Industrial Economy
PRODUCT driven
1970s+ : Knowledge Economy
becoming CONSUMER driven because of :
- Globalism, Internet, information
- Consumer expectations = excellence
- Consumer knowledge
- Consumer immediacy
2. VALUES shift
20th Century = Economic Rationalism
- Profit driven
- Profit before people & planet
- Materialist tangible external values
21st Century = Cooperative Capitalism
- Profit & People & Environment & Culture
- Government as administrators
- Confucian influence
- Intuitive + Rational thinking
- Win - win - win trade
- Alliances, partnerships
- Holistic, spiritual orientation
- Knowledge driven
- Mom Power
- Youth commitment
3. TRADE POWER relocation
19th& 20thC Nth Atlantic trade power
- Two Trading Blocs: EU, NAFTA
- Christian philosophy
21st C Pacific trade power
- Australasian : Japan / China / India / NZ
- Largest consumer base
- Pro production policies
World Bank : 50% world wealth 25 yrs
Confucian philosophy.
THRIVERS IN 21ST CENTURY
| 20THCENTURY : | TODAY : |
| (= left brain / masculine paradigm) | (= right brain / feminine paradigm) |
| Respond to change | Envision, create change |
| Wealth driven | Values driven |
| Do the thing right | Do the right thing |
| Accept fate | Create destiny |
| Control | Facilitate |
| Work in the organisation | Work on the organisation |
| Seek probable future: | Seek preferred future: |
| = what will the future be | = what should it be |
| = plan for prospective future | = plan for possible future |
| Problem centred: | Mission directed: |
| = problem solvers | = create goals |
| = focus on existing problems | = focus on positives |
| = use existing processes | = create new processes |
| To create change: | To create change: |
| = use fear | = use hope |
| = use desperation | = use inspiration |
| = go for win-lose | = go for win-win-win |
| From 1950s Cowboy Culture: | To 2020 Spaceship Culture: |
| = individualism | = communitarianism |
| = independence | = interdependence |
| = autocracy | = democracy |
| = humanity against nature | = humanity part of nature |
| = unsustainable production | = sustainable production |
| = unsustainable consumption | = sustainable consumption |
| = patriarchy | = gender equality |
| = intercultural intolerance | = intercultural tolerance |
| = interreligious intolerance | = interreligious tolerance |
| = conflict resolution by confrontation | = conflict resolution by negotiation |
| = reliance on defence | = reliance on security |
| = reliance on rational intelligence | = reliance on emotional intelligence |
| (Adapted from P Ellyard, Preferred Futures) |
GENERATIONAL TRENDS
Boomers : |
GenXers : |
DotComs : |
| (1945-60) | (1960-75) | (1975-90) |
| married/divorced | single | temporary pairing |
| empty nesters | childless | group socialising |
| retired/ part timers | multicareers, SOHOs | no careers, own path |
| downsizing everything | mobile nfa renters | parental home |
| set relationships | Net dating | Net relationships |
| sense of community | global orientation: no commitment | global identity |
| material status | materialism assumed | non status consumers |
| identity from job | identity ephemeral | identity from activity |
| medium term planning | short term planning | immediacy |
| travellers; homebodies | varied lifestyles: wired | wired |
| seek new safe experiences | risk takers | multichannelled |
| security conscious | quick decisions | multiactions |
| health conscious | environmental values, personal journey | planetary mission group focus |
| defer to authority | deference to heroes | temporary deference |
| love/hate change. | expect, accept change. | need, welcome change |
OUR CHANGING ATTITUDES to LAND
| 20TH CENTURY : | 21ST CENTURY : |
| SCIENTIFIC VIEW | TRADITIONAL VIEW |
| Nature is wild, savage, wasteland | Nature is holy, sacred, alive |
| Man needs to dominate | Man spiritually within nature |
| Land is property to be commercially divided | Land is origin and unity of life |
| Nature is source of exploitable commodities | Man is responsible for harmony of nature |
| Man extracts all unilaterally | Man reciprocates by giving back to nature |
| Violations made vague, uncertain by science | Man's violations of nature are of serious concern |
| Universe as mostly static physical objects | Universe an elusive interplay of natural forces |
| Science will explain all eventually | Nature not fully knowable by rational mind |
| Language is aggressive & manipulative | Language is gentle & accommodating |
| Sense of separateness from other life forms | Sense of kinship, empathy with all life forms |
| Sense of superiority over other life forms | Each species has rich gifts & powers |
| Religious beliefs above nature | Religious beliefs within and level with nature |
| Knowledge removed from, ignores experience | Knowledge based on long life experience |
| Scientists agree on truths of natural world | Natural world determines truths. |
CENTURY OF THE PACIFIC :
| Business | Cultural Values |
| World trade power shifting to Australasia. | Confucian values |
| · 50 % of world's wealth by 2030 (World Bank) | · influencing Christian values & philosophy |
| Trading Bloc : Australasian | · same values as Feminine Paradigm, as follows: |
| · Most powerful of 3 Blocs (EU, NFTA) | Cooperation not competition |
| Consumer driven economy | · teams, alliances, win-win |
| · Largest number of consumers : 2.5 billion | Individual responsibility, not society |
| Manufacturing industries | · own future, own needs, own comforts |
| · Huge labour force: keen, skilled, low wage | Harmony with nature, not materialism |
| Australia leadership role | · society & environment important, Triple bottom line |
| · WA (Way Ahead) leadership role in region | Balance of rational & intuitive thinking |
| Government deregulation | · left & right brain together, science is not the only truth. |
| · Business free-trade in global village |
CENTURY OF HEALING
To Move on from 20th Century 's :
Good News : Achieved major advancements in:
- Agriculture
- Aviation
- Democracy, voting
- Higher education
- Literacy, numeracy
- Medicine
- Technology
- Lifespan
- Choices
Not so Good News : increase per population in
- Poverty
- Hunger
- Homelessness
- Crime
- Family breakdown
- Substance abuse
- Violence
- War, war damage ( 30 wars )
- Loss of identity, of belonging
- Loss of sense of community, sharing, caring.
Towards Healthy Sustainability :
- Planet : biological, chemical, physical sustainability
- Society : community, neighbourhood, family sustainability
- Win - win - win : good for you, good for me, good for the planet
CENTURY OF THE FEMININE
Moving into the Feminine Right-Brain Paradigm :
21st Century Nature of Work
- Team based
- Project based
- One-off alliances, consortia
- Multi-tasked
- Intuitive thought processes
- Flat decision making
- Leadership is skill based.
21st Century Employment
- Mainly female jobs : services sector
- Work close to home/ home based
- Low Income jobs
- Small businesses
- Self employment
- Contract work
- Part time
- Multiskilled employees
- Average 5 Careers in life
Mindset of the Successful in 21st Century
- Understand the Cluetrain Manifesto : http://www.cluetrain.com
- Be consumer driven and passion driven
- Much of the past has no future & much of the future has no past
- Total responsibility for your life & career or business
- Think outside the box - ask new questions, look for new solutions
- Use multiplier effect, synergy : share resources, quests, ideas, risks
- Ditch ego
- Welcome the adventure of change.
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